Part 1
Asking a causal question
Aaron MuellerPart 2
Levels of causal questions
Patrik Reizinger
Pearl's ladder sorts questions into rungsCounterfactual: what this one input would have produced had a been different.Open demo โ
The same gender question reads differently at each rungRung 1: the probe scores the same in both hidden worlds. Rung 2: INLP moves the predictions in both. Rung 3: one bio, and which rerun equals the target.Open demo โ
Re-running a forward pass answers counterfactuals about heads but not about conceptsBoth reruns use one bio; each keeps different nodes fixed.Open demo โ
Part 3
Identifying the answers
Shruti Joshi
A rotated basis fits the same subspaceA symmetry: a change that leaves the loss unchanged.Open demo โ
Steering along a mixed axis moves two conceptsA mixed axis: steering along it moves both concepts.Open demo โ
SAEs trained on the same activations disagreeTwo seeds, two dictionaries: consistent with several sparse solutions.Open demo โ
Same Loss, Different StoryReconstruction cannot see the rotation, and sparsity can pick the wrong one.Open demo โ
What you can vary or observe narrows the equivalence classCRL, causal representation learning, pins z down with contrastive pairs, interventions on concepts and natural experiments.Open demo โ
Will the Edit Survive Deployment?Transport: a finding still holds on new inputs. Our answer to “when will it generalise?”Open demo โ
Part 4